GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - I Think The election Results Prove That America Has Moved Farther To The Left

kane · 11-03-2010, 01:52 AM

Several months ago I read a pretty big article (can't find the link right now) about how there is a theory that the republicans, if they don't change their ways, are a dying breed.

The idea is this: Over the next 12-15 years the size of the black and latino populations in this country will increase by 400% while the number of white people will stay about the same. Black people are almost always democrats and most latinos are as well.

Add into that mix that the current up coming generation, that being the 10-20 year olds, is the largest generation that this country has seen since the baby boomers. And they are a pretty liberal group. For the most part they don't have the hangups about race and sexuality that many do (obviously this is just bulk profiling, but the piece was speaking as a whole) and they are more liberal than their parents. A large number of them identify themselves as democrats or left leaning independents. Obviously some of them will change as they get older, but for many of them that change won't happen until their 30's or 40's . They are also not nearly as religious as their parents so they will not be as easily influenced by the church.

When you add it all together is spells trouble for the republicans. The republicans are still the party of the wealthy old white guy and they are a dying breed. While it may not stay that way forever when this generation comes of age and you match it with the shifting ethnic demographic that is coming onto this country you get what could be long term success for the democrats. You see it now as the republicans are scrambling to not rely on the religious right as much and are trying to adopt the tea party as their new base. They are also desperately trying to get anyone of color into the party to show diversity.

They will be fine for the next few election cycles, but without a change to their party trouble could be on the horizon for them.

11-03-2010, 01:52 AM
kane Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: portland, OR Posts: 20,684	Several months ago I read a pretty big article (can't find the link right now) about how there is a theory that the republicans, if they don't change their ways, are a dying breed. The idea is this: Over the next 12-15 years the size of the black and latino populations in this country will increase by 400% while the number of white people will stay about the same. Black people are almost always democrats and most latinos are as well. Add into that mix that the current up coming generation, that being the 10-20 year olds, is the largest generation that this country has seen since the baby boomers. And they are a pretty liberal group. For the most part they don't have the hangups about race and sexuality that many do (obviously this is just bulk profiling, but the piece was speaking as a whole) and they are more liberal than their parents. A large number of them identify themselves as democrats or left leaning independents. Obviously some of them will change as they get older, but for many of them that change won't happen until their 30's or 40's . They are also not nearly as religious as their parents so they will not be as easily influenced by the church. When you add it all together is spells trouble for the republicans. The republicans are still the party of the wealthy old white guy and they are a dying breed. While it may not stay that way forever when this generation comes of age and you match it with the shifting ethnic demographic that is coming onto this country you get what could be long term success for the democrats. You see it now as the republicans are scrambling to not rely on the religious right as much and are trying to adopt the tea party as their new base. They are also desperately trying to get anyone of color into the party to show diversity. They will be fine for the next few election cycles, but without a change to their party trouble could be on the horizon for them.