SpaceAce

I don't suppose there's an English version of that site. I would like to check it out.

I don't want to bash your ebook but I have to point out that no matter what strategy you use, the house ALWAYS has the odds in roulette. It doesn't matter if an average of 22 numbers come up in 37 spins because you don't know ahead of time <B>which</B> 22 numbers they will be. Also, 37 spins is simply not statistically significant.

Even if you watched the table for 22 spins to see which 22 numbers are going to come up, it wouldn't do you any good because then you only have 15 spins left in your 37 spins, plus you don't know when/where the "first" of the 37 spins was (since the wheel is spun constantly) so your "counting" could overlap two sets of 37 spins. Finally, it still doesn't matter what the minimum/maximum and average are because your odds of hitting the number are still 1/37 and the payouts are still around 35:1.

You can follow a strategy of always making the bets with the best percentages and in the short run the ball could take a couple of hops in your favor but over time you will lose, period. For every "streak" you get on and win, someone at the casino next door got on one and lost. There is no magic and all the analysis in the world doesn't change the fact that each spin has exactly the same odds of doing any given thing as the spin before it did. The only things that makes it look like streaks hot/cold/black/red/even/odd streaks is exist are superstition and small smaples (even if you stand around the table for 1,000 spins, it is not a significant number to work with).

Your point about red not coming up a million times in a row may be true, but that isn't because it came up red too many times before, it's simply because that (approximately) 1/2 chance went one way instead of the other. Red won't come up a million times in a row because the odds of that are (disregarding 0's) 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2... out to a million. That is only important if you are betting on a combination of spins, though, like betting at the beginning "I bet $500 red won't come up 50 times in a row." Then, the number of times red comes up in a row affects your bet, but the important thing to remember in roulette is that those odds add up as a factor of 1/2 because <B>every single spin has a 50% chance of coming up red and a 50% chance of coming up black</B> no matter what happened before that. In case someone reads this without reading the rest of the message, I <I>know</I> it isn't 50%. I am not including the 0's.

SpaceAce