05-21-2003, 01:29 AM
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Let's do some business.
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: The dirty south.
Posts: 18,781
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Quote:
Originally posted by SpaceAce
If it worked for you, it was pure coincidence and/or luck. The roulette wheel has, let's say, 37 spots on it for the ball to land in (varies slightly by casino; "0" only or "0" and "00"). When that wheel gets spun, there is a 1/37 chance of that ball landing in any given spot. There is approximately a 1/2 (again, the 0's tip the odds against you) of it landing on black. That <B>does not change</B> no matter how many times you spin the wheel. Every single spin is a 1/2 chance of either color coming up. It doesn't matter if it lands on red 500 times in a row, the 501st time you spin that wheel there is exactly the same chance of the ball landing on black as there was in the previous 500 spins.
You may think you see patterns in the short term, but it's an illusion. After a billion spins, you're going to have very nearly 500,000,000 red and 500,000,000 black (disregarding the 0's).
Bottom line: there is <B>no</B> correlation between the ball landing on any given color and the colors it landed on before that.
SpaceAce
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What he said. You are thinking of it over short term betting. This in no way works. Now if you had known what the ball had landed on say the last 100,000 times, your theory would be more accurate. Roulette is one of the shittiest odds in a casino regardless of where or how you bet. I think the percentage is 3 to 4% in favor of the house and in gambling that sucks.
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