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I don't think it will ever "take the place" of real porn, it has and will continue to hold it's own side by side with real porn however.
Hands down there is no one out here (myself deff included) that wants / is willing to shell out the money needed to make and continue to make the videos.
We've (the 3D Toon niche) have come a LONG way in the past 10 years, and I'm proud to sit here now and know that all I've said about the niche was dead on (even though is some cases in the beginning I was off on the timeline lol)
The two biggest issues, are render engines and render times, everything else really has been solved already EVEN IF it's not being utilized right now.
for many years the software was NEVER made to take FULL advantage of every inch of your computers power and FINALLY that has been fixed, so the render engine issue SHOULD be fixed in 1-2 more years (3 tops) the same SHOULD also be true for the times....
For the 3D Toon 'games' sadly the tech is still behind it's own times, look at Dubcash's "BoneTown" kick ass games BUT due to the render engines avail for gaming (for the novice and semi pros) can not handle the extreme polygon counts for the models (like I create and use) right now my girls do not work with ANY of the engines being used right now.
frame by frame animation point blank sucks right now, and it take months to create (baring any fuckups) a decent 5-10 min FULL MOTION video (I'm talking multi camera angles, multi chars, dialog, and full motion movement here) and even with an army of computers (and overhead) the cost involved just is not worth it to producers like myself.
What people don't seem to remember is unlike our 'real' counterparts, we can't just book a model, grab light rigs and props and go shoot, edit, upload and sell, this stuff take TIME to do (and do right!) so the prices reflect that, and everyone bitches about the prices lol.....
I myself have always been the cheapest producer for the quality I provide (by leaps and bounds really) and people STILL harp about the prices... can you imagine if I spent 1 year making a movie and had to price it out to time / overhead?
bottom line, it's just not cost effective / profitable right now, which is why there is a total lack of ORIGINAL VIDEO CONTENT right now, BUT as I said that WILL change over the next few years
(Original content meaning) people producing content that is NOT made up of the handful of 'loops' avail to use right now, I'm talking original like Pornomation (mad props) and the killer companies in Japan with entire floors of computers rendering 24/7 to make very odd content (imho)
gotta stop rambling here, BUT as one of the founders of this niche I've ALWAYS got lots to say about the niche lol
-Loki-
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