I agree with some and STRONGLY disagree with some of your points
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Fact: If you take 100 naked pictures of a girl and give 99 of them away for free people will pay for the 100th
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I gotta assume you're kidding here, so won't elaborate on the subject
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Fact: People will always pay for a flat image of a beautiful naked woman. The ultimate porn consumer sitting in front of his triple monitor system with 2 live cams sites up, 4 streaming HD 3D videos playing, 14 high rez images strategically placed on those screens with his fleshlight engaged will still be interested in a picture of Aria Giovanni in her prime or that first image we all saw of Tawnee Stone.
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to some extent. It will always depend on quality, niche and some "wow" factor. "Ultra tech" people usually won't pay much for porn, furthermore, people paying will be people that want some specific content or experience delivered in an easy, non nonsense way
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Fact: Dating Sites and Live cams while awesome revenue streams will not replace paysites; apples and oranges. I am a red-blooded American male and I have never looked at a cam site. I have never even thought about using my free pussycash minutes, lol. Lots of people do, but not everybody.
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I agree with this. I know there are some hardcore fans of cams, but I really don't get the point of it.
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Myth: the paysite model is dead.
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Like Roald said, it's not dead. But the paysite model AS WE KNOW IT is dying for sure.
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Fact: the overbilling model is dead
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if you're talking about Xsales, It will never die, there will always be shady people. Now, if we're talking on profit optimization and additional revenue, then adult industry didn't even start, and it will be key for the survival of many companies. Then again, nobody even tried to start
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Fact: the growth of tube sites is unsustainable. I am not saying tubes will go away but their growth trajectory will diminish. This is true simply because the revenue from content based tube sites do not recapitalize content producers, they recapitalize dating and cam companies. Truly amateur ?submitted? videos make up too small percentage of their overall content portfolio to sustain the consumption (and let?s also state that ?real? submissions aren?t generally hot young girls) I should really make a mathematical equation from this, it would be Nobel worthy.
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as a matter of fact I explained this like 2 years ago. However, what I didn't figure at that time (and now I do) is that what we're discussing is just the tip of the iceberg. Nowadays, if I had such traffic sources I'd rack millions a month by doing just a slight minor change in their business model. I've reasons to believe those tubes are already making the change to that next step
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Fact: The ?brand? is the value of your company. The affiliate programs going out of business had no identity. Their identity boiled down to $XXX PPS period. Success going forward is the quality and distribution of your brand to the consumer not to the middleman.
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this deserves a pretty long discussion on its own since there are many variables and scenarios, but based on they way you're describing it, yeah, I gotta agree in general
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Fact: The affiliate program AS WE KNEW it is dead. Yankscash to me is purely a vehicle for a select few people who understand my brand to land it in front of the surfers they touch. If you look at my program and see X% or $X PPS you won?t succeed for long. I believe this will eventually become true for all programs in the future. Gone are the days when affiliates sold a program, they will need to sell a product.
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Agreed 100%. I told people about that more than a year ago, and what would be happening and why would it happen, and while some people agreed or added some very good insight to that view, many people laughed. Guess they're still wondering what happened to their checks.
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Fact: Quality will beat out convenience. Technology like 3D will blow away the revenue made from mobile. The key is to make the surfers experience as close to real sex as possible. I am not saying there isn?t money in mobile, I am just saying the hype is more interesting than the reality.
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strongly disagree. you're confusing media formats with delivery technology. I certainly don't get the reason why to navigate using a cell phone, but, objectively speaking, there's no doubt mobile is having a blat and only increasing. Furthermore, for many people, especially older men, 3D is frankly annoying. Add to that the inconvenience of 3d glasses, the crappy 3D content most studios will launch only because it's "the new wave" (many studios can't shoot decent 2D content, why would they do it better in 3D?) and sincerely I can't even see how can you compare convenience to inconvenience and lack of quality
ANyway, good discussion, but IMHO some of your facts are the exact opposite to reality
