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We will always have people dedicated to buying porn, on any medium that has it available to them.
The WWW Internet porn traffic bubble has gotten smaller though. It can be seen in the number of Affiliates available to us today. Less Affiliates because of 2257, 1000's of micro affiliates gone that were the true backbone of our Industry, creating far less global reach, less global exposure, less trades, less traffic moving around, less of everything. Yet porn production exploded at the worst time almost.
It's no possible way we have more traffic today in porn than we did 10 years ago - it wasn't about those affiliates having sites either - it was about the reach they provided - which created extreme amounts of fresh traffic for our Industry, traffic that is totally gone today - like email. Now we're stuck with a shit ton of sites, and far less people to go around.
Based on history, porn will change mediums... based on what the future is showing, the Mobile Internet will take over the WWW Internet within a few years. It's buying power is already more powerful. Medium changes in porn take roughly 10 years, and in 10 years the porn Internet as we know it today will look like the mainstream studio business.
The social Internet isn't new, it's the oldest aspect of the Internet that people have used. It's the BBS and IRC chat rooms and groups and all that shit all moved up in scale, far more advanced, and moving all mediums as well - smartphones for example. It's what drives online games, the xbox, and smartphones, it's the entire damn reason people come on the Internet.
The Internet is moving to instant gratification that gratifies faster than porn does... email is to slow for them. People can get 'fixes' for what they need in other ways, and that's what the Social Internet (or games) do for people. It's no different than a drug or porn.
The online social aspects of people has changed the entire buying and surfing minds of the mass majority of people online. It's only going to get worse or better, depending on what you're doing. Following the technology for the next 20-40 years will be easy, just follow the social movements of people jumping to the mediums, be the person that provides the porn on that medium and you're set.
To me it can't be denied... it's happening to everyone all over the entire WWW Internet, it has happened to porn before - but that doesn't mean porn is dead, it just moving.
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