Originally Posted by kane

I think you number of 40 states is way too high. Sure, some like Maine, Massachusetts and Tennessee that already have a version of universal health care may, but when you look at all of the states many of them are blue states. The bill is popular among democrats so I don't think states that are democrat controlled that have no health care will be voting to shut this out.

Obama could be in trouble, but it is very hard to be an incumbent president. If this health care bill doesn't explode in his face in the next couple of years, the economy starts to turn around and the situations in Iraq and Afghanistan are looking good, he will win re-election. If those things don't happen, he will be vulnerable. The problem with the republicans is that they don't have a clear message yet (but that will change) and they don't have that one candidate that you can point to and say, "This person is a real contender and a threat to Obama."