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Old 04-18-2003, 08:59 AM  
FlyingIguana
aspiring banker
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: toronto
Posts: 10,870
Quote:
Originally posted by Colin


Tell me. By what calculation did you definitively decide that US actions will cause the loss of more US lives rather than less?

Consider that by the US acting in Iraq it will increase the probability of a terrorist attack in the US.

Consider also that by the US acting in Iraq it will decrease the probabiity of WMD's being used in a terrorist attack in the US.

How do you combine those probabilities in a definitive way when no one knows the individual probabilities themselves?

Everyone is acting in what they believe to be their best interest.
nobody knows the exact probablity, thats not the issue. the issue is trying to lower the probablity. if you can lower the hatred towards americans in the middle east, you may lower the probablity of a terrorist attack enough so that it doesn't occur.

america needs to do everything they can to lower this probability.

now going into iraq may have lowered the probability if iraq was funding terrorists and if america had the support of the UN. even with the support of the UN it could have increased the probability of an attack, but now that the war is culminating you need to work on damage control.

if you allow other countries to help in iraq and step back while iraq builds its own government while helping to rebuild, that will win a few brownie points. step back from being so stubborn and try to minimize the damage.

would it be worth it if american lives can be saved? i think its worth a shot.
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