Quote:
Originally Posted by $5 submissions
Unless people start equating Obama with a continuously eroding economy and the economy continues to deteriorate for the next 4 years, there's a high chance Obama will will reelection in 2012. People voted for change in 2008 and if he's able to deliver on these changes (against substantial opposition to be sure), then he would have put CHANGE and the ECONOMY on separate tracks. If that's the case, he'd be reelected--even with a crappy economy. Remember, FDR was reelected even with the economy in the tank.
Now if Obama became SYNONYMOUS with the bad economy and he flounders on promised changes, then he'd be a Jimmy Carter rethread.
|
I beg to disagree and I will tell you why. Obama got elected because he softened his message mid-campaign and tried to become more mainstream and move to the middle-left. It worked obviously, of course he had a very weal opponent in my humble opinion. Obama is a wonderful politician and an incredible speaker, very likable those obviously also helped him. The people in the middle didnt vote him in to "push a vast social agenda" they voted him in because they believed he would be "positive" to the country and perhaps unite Washington politicians. Congressional approval ratings were horrendous during the Bush and Clinton years and people are tired of Congress.
Obama has LOST the people in the middle-right that you can take to the bank. Obama has LOST the older white generation as well now, they see the effect the economy has taken on their retirement and it is only getting worse. Obama has done nothing to help those people, his stimulus doesnt even address that issue at all.
The economy WILL get worse, and it is accelerating at a pace even the Obama administration did not expect. Obama had the good faith of many in the middle-right(which whether you like it or not is the majority in America) but he is losing it very quickly.
When the Congressional budget office says that the Obama stimulus bill will hurt the economy you know we got serious problems. Unfortunately I think Obama had many fooled that he was an agent of positivity but he has ushered in an era of complete pessimism.
We shall see in 2012, if we make it that far.