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Old 02-25-2009, 02:34 PM  
ADL Colin
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Join Date: Feb 2001
Location: Tube Titans, USA
Posts: 11,929
Here are the Macroeconomic assumptions for the stress test that will be performed on all banks.

GDP
Baseline forecast: 2009. -2% 2010 +2.1%
Adverse condition to test against (Probability 15%): 2009 -3.3% 2010 +.5%

Unemployment
Baseline forecast: 2009. 8.4% 2010 8.8%
Adverse condition to test against (Probability 10-15%): 2009 8.9% 2010 10.3%

House prices
Baseline forecast: 2009. -14% 2010 -4%
Adverse condition to test against (Probability 10%): 2009 -22% 2010 -7%
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Last edited by ADL Colin; 02-25-2009 at 02:37 PM..
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