Here are the Macroeconomic assumptions for the stress test that will be performed on all banks.
GDP
Baseline forecast: 2009. -2% 2010 +2.1%
Adverse condition to test against (Probability 15%): 2009 -3.3% 2010 +.5%
Unemployment
Baseline forecast: 2009. 8.4% 2010 8.8%
Adverse condition to test against (Probability 10-15%): 2009 8.9% 2010 10.3%
House prices
Baseline forecast: 2009. -14% 2010 -4%
Adverse condition to test against (Probability 10%): 2009 -22% 2010 -7%
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