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The paper cost of welfare is only part of the equation.
You also have to look at the long term cumulative effect of welfare on the economy, not just the paper cost, but also what you DIDN'T get. You didn't get productive workers. You need to consider the enormous cost of having all of these completely non-productive persons. You are seeing it now. Part of our economy is nothing but "dead weight."
And universal healthcare will further burden us, it will be the last nail in the coffin of a great country.
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