Quote:
Originally Posted by RedShoe
If Obama can take Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, and Pennsylvania (which have all 4 voted dem since the 80's) then he'll have a 91% chance of winning.
It will all come down to Ohio.
If Obama gets all the states that have traditionally voted Dem, and McCain gets all the states that have traditionally voted Repub, then it'll all come down to Ohio as they tend to go back and forth between the two parties.
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There are a lot of scenarios that make it so that Obama doesn't have to win Ohio to win. He is going to take Iowa away from the republicans which means if he wins just the states Kerry won (meaning he could lose Florida and Ohio) all he needs is any one of the other swing states and it looks like he has a strong chance of wining New Mexico and maybe even Colorado. So Ohio, while important, may not decide the election.