Quote:
Originally Posted by cykoe6
My opinion is that she will energize the base while at the same time she has the potential to pull some female votes for the ticket (particularly some very disaffected Hillary supporters who are looking for an excuse to vote against Obama). Obviously her pro-life positions will keep her from getting any large percentage of the feminist vote but she may pull some of the "soccer mom" type voters.
Furthermore the fact that she would be the first woman Vice President takes some of the edge of the "historic" nature of Obama's campaign which is his primary appeal to most Independents.
Of course this is just my opinion. Time will tell how effective she is in getting independent voters.
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She was certainly brought in to help energize the base and you make a very good point that she will take some of the "historic" shine off of Obama. The big question is will she help bring in independents in swing votes and I don't think that she will. McCain is losing ground in several states that are traditionally strong Republican states and he is not taking away an democrat states. At this point if Obama just wins the states Kerry won in 2004 (most of which he is well ahead in the polls in) and then one other toss up state he wins. He doesn't even have to win Florida or Ohio. He can win Nevada or Colorado and win. McCain is going to have to fight just to hold onto some of his stronghold states while having to win several of the swing states. That is a big task and to do it he will have to appeal to independent voters. So the question is will she help him there? I don't think she will. She may not hurt him greatly, but I don't see her helping him much.
Then again it is politics and people vote for a lot of strange reasons so you never know.