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Old 08-11-2008, 08:01 PM  
Libertine
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Join Date: May 2002
Posts: 17,860
Quote:
Originally Posted by marketsmart View Post
the bigger problem is that everyone and their mother is starting tube sites...

the whole market is going to get massively saturated (even more so than now) with free content...

i am now starting to see the big picture and i am starting to agree with some that have posted here about quality content being the future of the pay model...
Quality content, interactive content (webcams), tangible products (toys), non-adult content (dating). That's the future of the pay model. Margins for quality content producers/sellers will get lower, since many people who would pay to upgrade from 30 second clips to 30 minute clips will not pay to upgrade from 30 minute watchable clips to 30 minute high quality clips.

The ones who are really in trouble are the affiliates. The ones with successful tube sites will do well, but of those who have neither strong established sites/networks, nor successful tubes, a majority will go out of business because of the new, lower margins.

5 years from now, paid content will be dominated by a handful of huge networks, and free content will be dominated by a handful of tube sites, as well as a number of old-timer giants, seo'ers, etc.

The affiliate programs that are now marginally profitable will disappear. The guys that, right now, do reasonably well with a handful of tgps and a dozen blogs will disappear. Consolidation is the future.
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