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Old 05-22-2008, 06:46 PM  
Axeman
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Swamp
Posts: 5,201
BTW the poll out of North Carolina is the real poll that tells the story. It has Obama losing to McCain but Clinton beating McCain. In a state that Obama won by 14 points in the primary.

How could that be???

1. Obama's bases is consists of a large portion of voters who ALWAYS vote democrat. Therefore when polled Clinton vs McCain they still go Democrats. There is no way the A.A community votes for McCain. They may stay home in protest sure but they won't vote right wing. Never do. Neither will the far left liberals.

2. Clinton's base contains a large chunk of Reagon democrats who have and will vote republican if they feel the democrat candidate is to far left of center. Especially with a candidate in McCain is close to center on the right. So if its Obama vs McCain a large % of those voters choose McCain.


Put that on repeat for Ohio, PA, FL, MI, KY, WV.

Its FAR FAR easier for Clinton to get Obama's base (minus the diehard youths) than it is for Obama to get Clinton's base. Especially with McCain as the candidate. The Right was not happy with McCain exactly, but now they are happy they "lucked" into it.
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