biggest problem, the amount of free porn, tube sites in particular
hell, few years ago, I used to be an occassional porn consumer
right now, all you need is Megarotic
lots of 10 minutes + porn videos of teens, amateurs, asians etc completely for free! - I surely don't need anything more ;)
and most "hungry" porn consumers don't need more either...
let's not forget that 2 years ago people were upset about 30 seconds clips on MGP's!!! and right now already the tube sites are standard and you don't even see people talking about thehun on GFY anymore... which was an icon of this industry for years...
also, paying for porn is not only a matter of $$$. its quite a hassle actually, it's matter of time, of scrubbing, of submitting your personal information (last years news about thousands of porn consumers data being stolen didn't help us for sure,), the risk that your wife will read your CC statement, the risk of getting your email spammed, having potential problems with cancelling, being surprised by 'hidden charges' aka cross-sales etc... More people were willing to take the hassle if there was no full-time free porn alternative, like there is nowadays.
for a webmaster it's definitely harder and harder to make a sale nowadays for sure
but since the changes didn't happen overnight, then people don't have a direct comparison to how it was, say, 6 years ago
if suddenly conversions became as good as 6 years ago, everyone would be suddenly earning two, three times more $$$
and 6 years ago was already bad compared to the golden days of the 90's
right now people are saying that if you want to test a sponsor, you need to send at least 10k of traffic.
few years ago only the 'semi-players' could even send 10k uniques in a day, because with average conversion of 1:300, you were doing great already with much less
personally I don't really look optimistic at the future of the online adult biz. Need to switch a little to mainstream soon, I guess.
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