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Old 03-04-2008, 11:28 PM  
Snake Doctor
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: On top of my soapbox
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It does look like she'll squeak out a win in the popular vote there, however, the guerrilla math Texas uses to apportion delegates and the fact that 1/3 of the delegates come from the caucus (we won't know the caucus results until this weekend or possibly even later than that) mean that Obama will most likely win more delegates from Texas, and that today's overall result will be a wash in delegates for the two campaigns.

From the Clinton Campaign:

The Path to the Nomination

This election will come down to delegates........Again and again, this race has shown that it is voters and delegates who matter, not the pundits or perceived ?momentum.?..........As history shows, the Democratic nomination goes to the candidate who wins the most delegates ? not the candidate who wins the most states....

Mark Penn
Clinton Campaign Chief Strategist


http://thepage.time.com/penn-memo-th...he-nomination/


If Clinton wins every state left by a margin of 60%-40% (extremely unlikely, bordering on impossible) she still won't be able to catch Obama in pledged delegates.
The only person she's helping by staying in this race is John McCain. She can't win the nomination without finding a way to "overrule" the will of the voters....and if she does that, the nomination isn't worth having because half of Democrats will stay home or cast a protest vote for someone like Ralph Nader on election day.
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