Quote:
Originally Posted by leedsfan
I can speak to that as well.
We are content providers, as well as tube site players, and affiliate program owners.
The market for porn content will always exist. People will always be willing to pay for it.
These statements may not seem obvious with the biggest tube sites offering full length movies for free, but it is a statement of fact.
These are my reasons for why:
1) Some people love reading mags- and will always want to have them stuffed under their mattress.
2) Some people don't like waiting a long time for videos to load, ergo subscriptions sites that are niche specific will survive for the foreseeable future
3) Mobile porn is growing rapidly, and people like the privacy of being able to jack off in the bathroom at work or on lunch break
4) PPV porn works because you can get in and out, and find stuff that you like easily. So VOD sites will continue to grow
5) SE PPC will bring niche traffic to any site you want, for the foreseeable future
6) Some people like buying DVD's. Market will always have a share, and will transition into new technology once Blu-Ray becomes obsolete and so on.
7) New technology dictates something else will replace tube sites. I have an inkling of what that will be and am already preparing for it. 
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I agree with those points, there will still be other methods for content producers to produce content, but across those board the market for shotting web based custom content is going to take a big hit, they will have to shoot for paper media or mobile, or vod as you mentioned. I see most of the web based content being used for advertising, so they are not going to be high priced stuff, like custom shoots.
The one thing I disagree on is that niche sites will be ok in regards to stolen content. They will be the last to be affected but they will get hit as well. Naturally everyone is going to make general, non niched sites since the market is not saturated yet. Once there are tons of general sites people will find out that they can make more money doing an illegal niche tube site then trying to compete with the thousands of general ones. As times goes on and the market get more staturated these sites will get more niched based as a way to get a better market share. Stolen content, the second it is posted to the net it doesnt matter which site or which niche, it can be stolen. I see no reason why these sites wont get more and more niche focused over time.
so what is the next big thing
