Quote:
Originally Posted by GatorB
Once again you people don't realize Presidents aren't elected on the popular vote. We use the electoral college and if the electoral college votes were proportional you could make a case for Obama, but they aren't. That's how come Bush got Florida's 25 electoral votes even though he won by 600 votes out of 6 MILLION.
As I have stated time and time again please go look at a electoral map and show me which red states Obama wins because he's not winning an election just winning the states Gore and Kerry won.
Oh and please don't tell me "well the dems will win Florida or Ohio" because so far they're 0-4 in that department since 2000. What's plan B if that doesn't pan out? Obama gets black votes. So what even Kucinich would get 90% of the black vote. Obama was raised in hawaii and is from illinois. 2 states that vote democrat all the time anyways. So that's no any help.
It doesn;t matter if Obama wins NY or California or any other normally democratic state by larger margin that Gore or Kerry. You can win by ONE vote and you get ALL the electoral votes. Who cares. I'm still waiting for the answer to my question on what Obama brings to the table in winning at least one probably needing 2 red states. Which states are these? No Obama supporter has even mention ONE so far.
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Well, a case could be made that he could win any or all of these states: Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas and Virginia. All of these were states that were won by Bush in 2004, but in each case the margin of victory was less than 10% and in the case of Iowa it was actually less than 1%. New Mexico and Nevada were also won by Bush by less than 3%. If you go back and look at the maps from when Bill Clinton ran in 1992 and 1996 he actually won a handful of southern states. So the idea of of a democrat winning a southern state is not that far removed from reality. Obama could go into a couple of these states where they have a large black population and get them to vote for him. That might be enough to push him over the top in the closer states.
I'm not saying he would pull it off, but there are at least 6 states that Bush won in the last election that Obama would have a chance of winning.