Quote:
Originally Posted by ADL Colin
Problem for Paul is NH is probably the best he can expect to do. Giuliani does much better in the upcoming and large states and in all likelihood starts taking 5th.
Paul's current numbers in upcoming primaries.
Michigan 4.3% (6th place) (Huckabee and Romney lead the independent voters there)
Nevada 5.0% (6th place) (Must be a registered Republican to vote)
South Carolina 6.4% (6th place) (Paul at 1% of independents)
Florida 3.3% (6th place) (Must be a registered Republican to vote)
California, PA, FL all have closed primaries. Some big states.
Overall nationwide average: 3.7%
He'd do better than that as an independent in the general election.
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Hey Collin. I am not delusional about Paul winning the nomination. But the national numbers are low for a variety of reasons. Most people don't even know who Ron Paul is because of the lack of press this guy has gotten. The longer he stays in and the more ads he can get up in the Super Tuesday states the better he will do. He has surprised in Iowa and he will surprise in New Hampshire and recent polling has him gaining in South Carolina.
After February 5th he might decide he needs to run as an independent. At least he will have that option, whereas the other Republicans don't.