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it doesn't take a genius to figure out that he can do well in Iowa and New Hampshire, Iowa independent said he was 3rd a few weeks ago and polls in iowa have him as a statistical dead heat for third, if he can get third or 2nd and do the same in New Hampshire (his best first chance of winning a primary due to libertarian nature of the people there) then he will have a lot of momentum, he is already in double digits in SC according to a CNN poll and NV is a libertarian state and fertile ground for more votes and delegates
so yeah, he has a good chance and I expect him to bring out some last minute ads and really hammer it home in the next few weeks.
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