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Any poster who doesn't confirm their email is a spam bot. Any poster who does confirm their email is a well-coded spambot.
Seriously though, I have checked into it a little bit myself and found that a forum I run (non-adult) has closer to 15% that weren't confirming. I tried looking for a technical reason for it happening like a network problem or a problem with sendmail but decided it was probably user error or giving a fake address.
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I like pie.
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