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Old 11-22-2007, 07:55 AM  
Dollarmansteve
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: T.O.
Posts: 2,849
Quote:
Originally Posted by will76 View Post
The flaw in your theory is that some people who "WOULD" pay now "DON'T HAVE TO".
Sure people who were willing to pay for porn before still might pay in the future, but it doesn't mean they will now that what they can get for free basically = what they would be paying for.

Thats like saying restaurants that give small samples.... Some people would still buy even though they could get small samples. These same " buyers" still exist but now when they go up to t he counter to order and someone is handing out full meals for free, why order?

Also you fail to acknowledge the different generations getting online and that the new customer base is changing. In your theory the guy who paid in the past will still pay. Well the new generation of customers ( 18 - 22) are growing up on torrents sites. They are use to not paying for something they can easily find for free.

Time are seriosuly changing for membership sites that offer pictures and videos. Doom and glooom, hell no porn will be luctrative till the end of the time. But old school tgps, and traditional membership sites (pics and vids) will be dead in a couple years. You can count on it. Unless you offer live cam and some serious interaction with your members you dont have a chance.

Two ways you will fail. If you buy off the shelf content put a site together and that is what you are trying to get people to signup to, that is the same shit they can get for free and same content that is all over the net. If you produce your own exclusive content you will hold on for longer, only because it will take a while for that content to get picked up and shared all over. But you still lose because you have really high content cost. Either way the whole method is like a dinosaur and torrent sites are the comet that is about to crash into the earth.
People will always pay for value - our entire existence is based on this premise. If you provide value to a customer, they will pay, whether it's porn or popcorn. What is definitely changing is where the value is - back in '95 it was pictures... then video... then the interactive content (dating / cams) - so that part is true.

Every business needs a business model - otherwise it's just a hobby. If there's no value in video, then maybe providing all the free video in the world(legally of course, not stolen content) and making money elsewhere is a viable model. Why should the industry be protectionist of a segment that no longer makes money?

I'm just thinking out loud here - but things happen that are out of the control of the realtively small number of people inside this business, those who don't adapt will die.
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