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The US Dollar is still the #1 reserve currency, everybody is claiming the Euro is going to replace it soon, but the numbers say something different: 65.7% in Dollar in 2006, compared to 25.2% in Euro (Percentage of global currency reserves held in the particular currency).
The shift from Dollar to Euro was about 5% from 2000 to 2006 (70.5% and 18.8% for 2000), still a big ammount, but not as much as some people want us to believe.
So, many countries, including China, India, Europe, the whole OPEC states, Russia, Japan, etc. have a vital interest in these reserves keeping a certain value.
My guess would be that we are at or close to the bottom and move towards a 1:1 Dollar for Euro long term. The weak dollar is hurting european exports alot at the moment and will reflect on the Euro as well.
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