What do you think is going to change in the adult industry in the next 2 years? Where do you think it's headed? Honest opinions only. All jokes aside.
I happen to think in the next 2 years, the DVD side will find it's plateau, and stay steady for many years, it may move to HD-DVD and a small chance that BluRay will take a market share, but overall it will take a steep dip until it finds it's loyal fanbase, while the rest of the users are trying to find VOD sites, channels, and ways to import their media to portable devices.
I think TGPs / MGPs are going to find a similar trend, as blogging, MySpacing, YouTubing and other similar sites pick up in popularity.
On the paysite side, I think traffic overall is going to start dropping over the next couple of years, and it's going to become more and more important to stay on top of these torrent / tube sites to keep them clean of ripped content, and pursuing them with legal action, to try and maintain some margin of profitability on the content that is produced. I think it's going to become more and more important to screen affiliates, and possibly check references before letting them in the door to push traffic. Consider the source of the traffic. Sometimes you don't want it.
On this same notion, and as a footnote to the topic, I think people will soon start to realize that it's not so much "traffic" that is important, as it is "joins". You could have billions of uniques per second with 0 joins and it becomes absolutely pointless. Granted, this is usually not the case, however in instances such as Torrent traffic converting 1:7000 (from what I hear), and TGP traffic barely earning back monies spent on paid spots, the quality of traffic is becoming more of an asset than the traffic itself.
I have a few other areas that I'd like to address, but I'll try and do that tomorrow after I count a few sheep. I am really interested in hearing your thoughts on this.
Regards,
V