#2 Curlin - The HEAVY PICKED Favorite
Curlin will not finish within the top 10. He's got every attribute that goes above and beyond the other horses to outclass the field but he's a fucking 3 year old with little experience. He's not going to run a 1 1/4 mile with 19 other significant thoroughbreds when he's had three or four career starts. I'm either going to be dead right about this one or dead wrong. But I'm more than willing to tell you that inexperience will kill this horse. Keep this in mind as well:
no horse with four or fewer career starts has won the derby since 1918. Twenty nine horse (including some GREAT ones) have tried and failed.
#7 Street Sense
This may very well be the horse to beat. He's picked to go 2nd (behind Curlin) by just about every major handicapper. I'm just not sure how he's going to do well on dirt at Churchill. If he got the proper training time on the dirt this past week, watch for this horse to explode. He's got the fastest speed over any horse in his most recent past performances at an astounding 108.
#8 Hard Spun
Top three finisher for sure
as long as he doesn't get tired in this long of a race.
#11 Bwana Bull
This horse is going off dead last at 50-1, but I think he may surprise some people.
#14 Scat Daddy
Don't be surprised if he wins this race. He's been running with bar shoes and won't be for this race. He's a quiet underdog that will sneak in the top 5.
Other Top 4 Finishers
#12 Nobiz Like Shobiz
#18 Any Given Saturday
#10 Teuflesberg - My Personal Favorite For The Day (going off at 50-1 so most don't agree)
I'm going broke today, how bout you???
