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Probably depends on how you define "really successful".
If you have the money to advertise and buy your own traffic, then yes. If you're an indie pulling yourself up by your bootstraps without start-up money, an ability to work 150 hours with no sleep, or a brilliant concept that garners mainstream media attention, then probably not. I would bet that people who've "made it" without affiliates either a) started before there was much competition, and/or b) had buttloads of money to build/buy their own traffic.
I personally don't have the time or the money to be "really" successful without affiliates. Their traffic might cost more, but you don't have to pay them until they actually make sales. The good ones are totally worth it.
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