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I'll say this. RSS has many more uses than just blogs and will be around a long time. So will link lists and TGP's. The Internet is changing and so is the porn biz, but in the end this is the porn biz. People, for the most part, are not bookmarking sites and visiting sites because they want to be wowed by designed and high quality text (although high quality test can help get the there) for the most part they could care less about my html or photoshop skills, they want porn. If you serve them what they want they will come back.
However, to say that in the next five years part timers will be a thing of the past I feel is just off base. It seems like every couple of years people predict the demise of the regular, old-school type of webmaster. The guy that makes free sites and galleries and stuff like that. Every few years people like to predict how affiliate programs will be disappearing and there will only be a few big players left in the market. Today there are more affiliate programs than ever. Many affiliate programs actually rely on their affiliates for the majority of their sales and many of these affiliates are part time or regular old-school webmasters. They may have to change some and adapt to new techniques and ideals, but I think there will always be a place for that group that builds some galleries and makes free sites.
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