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Congrats Dean,
A speciality book like you described, the publisher knows exactly how many they will print and they know withen 20% how many will go out in the first 90 days.
However depending on good the book is it might have many reprintings.
If it is really good you might get 40 to 50 schools who pick up the book as mandatory for their students.
You have nothing to loose. If you are comfortable with the advance go for it. Publishing is like film/photography , you are only as good as your last project ;)
Also you know how it is in photography...your skills lead to a jobs, which lead to a book, which lead to more opportunities...
This great for you and congratulations!
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