Quote:
Originally Posted by nick3131
So you're telling me there is no way to figure out the odds of you hitting heads twice? or tails twice?
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No, I'm saying you didn't provide the correct parameters to do such a thing in your brain teaser. Fliping a coin 100 times and getting heads 20% of the time does not give any indication whatsoever that heads turned up 2 times in a row at any time. Without that information there is no way to determine the odds.
If you had said that out of 100 tries two heads in a row came up 20 times.
Then the odds could be figure and they would be 20% that it woud happen now.
See, heads comming up twice in a row versus heads comming up period are two separate phenomenon and you are trying to take the properties of one phenomenon and determine the properties of another. CANT DO IT!
Quote:
Originally Posted by nick3131
If the player took 8,000,000 shots the hits and misses would not be evenly distributed. Thats the whole point of this question. At 8,000,000 tries sometimes he would make all 8(not often).. sometimes he would make 0.
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And he might make 200,000 shots in a row! Which would mean at NO time did he ever hit exactly 2 out of eight shots!!!!
He would have hit 8 out of 8 shots 25,000 times and then missed 8 out of 8 shots for the rest of the time.
How much would you bet on a guy like that making exactly 2 shots out of eight? ZERO?