GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 2 Florida tonight 8pm eastern

Jensen · 01-08-2007, 01:05 PM

couple of sites predicting:

Game 489-490: Florida vs. Ohio State (in Glendale, AZ)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.077; Ohio State 117.949
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16; 51
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2); Over

"It took a few weeks for Ohio State to take over the top spot in the Index from USC, but once the Buckeyes did they never relinquished the hold. While the perfect 12-0 record is impressive, it was the way that Ohio State played in the big games that stood out and gave the Buckeyes the extra boost. Jim Tressel's team dominated Texas in Austin (24-7), totally shut down Penn State (28-6), and whipped Iowa on the road (38-17) back when the Hawkeyes were still unbeaten and considered a dangerous club. While the final score of the Michigan game was close (42-39), OSU twice had two-TD leads and still led by 11 with just over two minutes remaining. Florida was not nearly as dominant a team, surviving a number of near-misses, including one-point wins against Tennessee (21-20) and South Carolina (17-16), and succumbing at Auburn (27-17). The Buckeyes should put together another strong performance tonight and cover the Vegas line (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Ohio State favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2)."

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Game Notes: Underdogs are 4-0 SU & ATS in the L4 BCS title games. Does Florida make it five in a row, or is this year's game closer to the Miami-Nebraska tilt of 2002? That's the big question. Since Ohio State was a step above anyone else in '06 and Florida was lumped among a handful of 2nd tier teams, the answer is probably closer to '03. The Buckeyes have been phenomenal in going 12-0, beating the #2 team in the country twice, and outscoring foes 36.3-10.4. They pass, run, and defend all facets of the game nearly equally well. Florida meanwhile, was just +15.5 in scoring differential and won six games by 10 points or less. In the end, OSU Heisman winner Troy Smith's command of the game should be the difference.

Estimate #1
FLORIDA 19
OHIO ST 22

Estimate #2
FLORIDA 28
OHIO ST 24

In past games, the underdog covered the spread 32 times, while the favorite covered the spread 13 times.
Edge against the spread=FLORIDA

30 games went over the total, while 11 games went under the total.
Edge against the total=Over

01-08-2007, 01:05 PM
Jensen Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Norway Posts: 3,790	couple of sites predicting: Game 489-490: Florida vs. Ohio State (in Glendale, AZ) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.077; Ohio State 117.949 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 16; 51 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 7 1/2; 47 Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2); Over "It took a few weeks for Ohio State to take over the top spot in the Index from USC, but once the Buckeyes did they never relinquished the hold. While the perfect 12-0 record is impressive, it was the way that Ohio State played in the big games that stood out and gave the Buckeyes the extra boost. Jim Tressel's team dominated Texas in Austin (24-7), totally shut down Penn State (28-6), and whipped Iowa on the road (38-17) back when the Hawkeyes were still unbeaten and considered a dangerous club. While the final score of the Michigan game was close (42-39), OSU twice had two-TD leads and still led by 11 with just over two minutes remaining. Florida was not nearly as dominant a team, surviving a number of near-misses, including one-point wins against Tennessee (21-20) and South Carolina (17-16), and succumbing at Auburn (27-17). The Buckeyes should put together another strong performance tonight and cover the Vegas line (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Ohio State favored by 16. Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-7 1/2)." --- Game Notes: Underdogs are 4-0 SU & ATS in the L4 BCS title games. Does Florida make it five in a row, or is this year's game closer to the Miami-Nebraska tilt of 2002? That's the big question. Since Ohio State was a step above anyone else in '06 and Florida was lumped among a handful of 2nd tier teams, the answer is probably closer to '03. The Buckeyes have been phenomenal in going 12-0, beating the #2 team in the country twice, and outscoring foes 36.3-10.4. They pass, run, and defend all facets of the game nearly equally well. Florida meanwhile, was just +15.5 in scoring differential and won six games by 10 points or less. In the end, OSU Heisman winner Troy Smith's command of the game should be the difference. Estimate #1 FLORIDA 19 OHIO ST 22 Estimate #2 FLORIDA 28 OHIO ST 24 In past games, the underdog covered the spread 32 times, while the favorite covered the spread 13 times. Edge against the spread=FLORIDA 30 games went over the total, while 11 games went under the total. Edge against the total=Over