12-09-2006, 01:05 PM
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So Fucking Banned
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 3,644
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bdjuf
think about it from a statistical point of view
8 deck shoe = 416 cards
you have a 11, and the guy before you has a 16 while the dealer is showing you a 6.
EVEN if he hits and gets a 10, your odds of getting a 10 are still pretty much the exact same. So don't go blaming the other guy if you don't get your 10, because the odds are calculated at every hand, there is no predicting what cards are put where in the shoe, and what cards follow what.
the bottom line is, the other guy has a 58% chance of busting, and he is playing that risk, and you have a 42% chance of getting a 21, and you are taking those chances, regardless of what anybody else on the table does.
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your argument is flawed because the man is pissed because of the FACT that the card would have been an "X" if the man before wouldnt have hit. 100% vs. whatever percent you are talking about. thats why he is mad. |
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