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Sony wants at least 1.2 million units (they are looking for 2 million) in North America by Christmas. They won't get that many... I say they'll get barely over a million total before Christmas. You are looking at 420,000 units in North America, 80,000 in Japan at launch. After that it's going to be hard to get it probably until April of next year.
You are looking at 1200-1400 minimum during these Christmas months on fleabay, so the prices are going to be hottest at the beginning and remain high into January. It'll peak after the Christmas period most likely but they will still be 300-400 more than at the store on fleabay for quite some time to come.
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