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The Google/YouTube may never happen. 50% chancce I would say. And let's not forget Murdoch is in there as well.
YouTube wants deep in it's heart an IPO (est. 2 bil value), but with the copyrighted materials on there now that may be on the high side. That is the reason they have been cracking the whip on it - to make them worth more should an IPO happen and clear any dark clouds.
It makes sense for google to take it over.
1. Comapnies that may sue You Tube may think twice about suing google. They don't back down from lawsuits.
2. Google can give YouTube what it sorely needs - Cheaper bandwith.
3. The search engine on You Tube is horrible compare to what google could bring to the table.
4. Google would love another outlet for adsense. Let's face it, that money is golden.
Will it happen? Maybe...
BTW, The yahoo/facebook merger talks have kinda slowed down. The fact is these companies know what they are really worth. With myspace growing to become the #1 destination on the net (bought at 500+ mil I believe), these companies are actually cheap.
Don't hold your breath for an announcement anytime soon, though google is a good investment right now...
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