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If anything he is in dire straights. Its unheard of for him to turn over power even to Raul.
Yesterday Cuba started to draft all males over 18 into the Army and put out a press release they're preparing for a US invasion, which is completely absurd and paranoid to the max.
Worst thing that could happen would be finding out Castro is dead and then the military tosses out Raul and a power struggle ensues. If that occurs you'll see an ocean full mass exodus of hundreds of thousands of Cubans in boats heading to Miami.
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