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The Wii will get early sales but you'll see a heavy trade in rate after the initial big name titles come out. Nintendo is too far up its own ass due to Japanese market loyalty. There will be a few adult titles but 3rd parties are already bitching about the difficulty of development.
My guess is the launch of the Wii is going to be huge and then peter out in 1 year. The xbox360 is going to have a solid market for a while and then peter out due to the limited library and the lack of titles. Its not going to have the strength of the PS2 library when the other systems were released. The PS3 I just don't know with the 600 dollar price tag. I just can't see a console market being ok with that. So I think the PS3 is going to have a slow start and work up momentum once the intial blue-ray bugs are worked out and the price starts dropping.
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