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Old 05-08-2016, 05:59 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barry-xlovecam View Post
I think 3rd and 4th party candidates will split up the vote.
  1. The Libertarian Party for one -- they could pull 8% from Trump.
  2. Also, a write in candidacy of a known Republican conservative politician is a possibility.
Most of the Democrats will hold their nose and vote for Hillary.

Game changes if Hillary is indicted over the emails but that is very unlikely.
I saw a poll from the last couple of days that showed Gary Johnson (the presumed Libertarian candidate) could get as much as 11% of the popular vote. If that is the case Trump is doomed.

I also saw an article that sited other recent polls that show Trump and Hillary tied in Georgia and Hillary close in Arizona, Mississippi and Utah. All four of those are typically dark red states and they may suddenly be in play.

This could turn into a very interesting election.
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